The Federal Reserve held its target range at 3.50%–3.75% at the June 17, 2026 FOMC meeting, with the median dot plot now signaling at least one rate hike before year-end.[1] That stalled the steady glide-path lower that depositors enjoyed through 2024 and 2025, and it has put cash yields back near 4% across nearly every safe vehicle. Which is good news. The harder question — and the one this guide is built around — is which safe vehicle for which dollar.
If you already have an emergency fund parked in a high-yield savings account paying around 4% APY, you are not asking the wrong question. You are asking the next question. Our emergency-fund piece covered the always-liquid layer; this one covers the layer just behind it: cash you can lock for somewhere between 90 days and five years. That is the territory where Series I Savings Bonds, Treasury bills, and certificates of deposit are the three serious tools — and where the wrong choice can leave thousands of dollars of yield, tax savings, or optionality on the table.
📊Compare yields side by side
Free bond-yield calculator — convert a discount-basis T-bill quote to an actual yield in one step.
Why these three (and not HYSA or stocks)
The right vehicle is a function of two questions: how long can the money be locked, and what risk are you willing to take with the principal. Both questions collapse to a time horizon, because risk tolerance for principal-protected dollars is roughly the same across most readers — you do not want to lose any.
For dollars you might need this week, a high-yield savings account or a money-market fund is the only sensible answer. The instant-liquidity premium is real and it is worth taking a few basis points of yield to keep it. For dollars you do not need for 10+ years, equities — specifically broad-market index funds — historically deliver about 10% nominal returns and crush every cash vehicle on the same long-run window.[2]
The middle window — 3 months to 5 years — is where the cash-vehicle decision matters. House down payments. Tax bills. A planned car replacement. The deductible bucket inside an emergency fund. The cash piece of a glide-path-to-retirement portfolio. The early-retiree's two-year living-expense ladder. In each case the dollars need to be principal-protected and yield-competitive, and the buyer can name a date when the cash is needed. That is the question this guide answers.
The one-line framing
HYSA = liquidity now. Stocks = growth in 10+ years. The three vehicles in this guide fill the gap between them — known horizon, known principal, known minimum yield.
The 2026 yield landscape (June reading)
Here is what each vehicle is paying as of mid-June 2026, verified against the Treasury, the FDIC, and major brokerage CD listings on the day this was written.
| Vehicle | Current yield | Liquidity | State tax? | Inflation hedge? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HYSA (best in class) | 4.00% – 4.50% APY[3] | Instant | Taxable | No (rate moves slowly) |
| 4-week T-bill | ~4.27% investment yield[4] | 4 weeks (or sell on secondary) | Exempt | No |
| 3-month T-bill | ~4.28% investment yield[4] | 90 days (or sell on secondary) | Exempt | No |
| 1-year T-bill | ~4.05% investment yield[4] | 52 weeks (or sell on secondary) | Exempt | No |
| 1-year bank CD (top) | 4.10% – 5.00% APY[5] | Locked (penalty for early) | Taxable | No |
| 1-year brokered CD | 4.00% – 4.20% APY[5] | Locked (sell on market) | Taxable | No |
| 5-year brokered CD | 4.00% – 4.10% APY[5] | Locked (sell on market) | Taxable | No |
| I Bond (May 2026 issue) | 4.26% composite[6] | Locked 12 mo; penalty < 5 yr | Exempt | Yes (CPI-U) |
Rates as of June 19, 2026. Verify with the institution or TreasuryDirect before purchase — these move daily.
Three things to notice. First, the headline yields are all clustered in a tight 4.00%–4.30% band — there is no obvious winner on yield alone. Second, the state-tax column quietly does a lot of work: a 4.28% T-bill in a 9.3% California bracket is the cash-equivalent of a 4.71% taxable CD.[7] Third, the I Bond is the only vehicle with an explicit inflation-adjustment mechanism baked in — every six months the inflation portion of the composite rate resets to the latest CPI-U reading.
How I Bonds actually work
Series I Savings Bonds — usually shortened to "I Bonds" — are non-marketable U.S. Treasury obligations sold exclusively at TreasuryDirect.gov in electronic form (a small paper-bond carveout exists for tax-refund purchases via Form 8888).[8] They earn a composite interest rate that combines two pieces:
- Fixed rate — set at purchase and locked for the 30-year life of the bond. The May 2026 fixed rate is 0.90%.[6]
- Inflation rate — reset every May 1 and November 1 based on the prior six months of CPI-U. The May 2026 semiannual inflation rate is 1.67% (an annualized 3.34%).
- Composite rate — what your bond actually earns for the next six months: 4.26% for any bond purchased between May 1, 2026 and October 31, 2026.
The fixed-rate portion is the part that matters strategically. It travels with the bond for 30 years. A 0.90% fixed rate is meaningfully better than the 0.00% fixed rate carried by bonds purchased between November 2020 and April 2022 — and meaningfully worse than the 1.30% fixed rate of the November 2023 issue. If you are buying I Bonds as a long-term tax-deferred inflation hedge rather than a short-term cash park, the fixed rate is the entire game.
The locks, the penalties, and the 30-year life
An I Bond purchased today is illiquid for 12 months — TreasuryDirect literally will not let you redeem it. Between months 12 and 60, you may redeem but you forfeit the most recent three months of interest. After month 60, no penalty. The bond continues to earn interest for 30 years and stops accruing at month 360.[8]
The 12-month lock is the most-misunderstood feature for first-time buyers. It is absolute. Treat any I Bond purchase as money you can guarantee you will not need for 12 months, and budget around the worst case where you held an extra month of cash you didn't need to. After 12 months the lock loosens; after 5 years it disappears.
The purchase caps
Each calendar year, an individual taxpayer can buy:
- Up to $10,000 in electronic I Bonds through their personal TreasuryDirect account.
- Up to $5,000 in paper I Bonds using a federal tax refund, requested on IRS Form 8888.
- Separately, a trust or a business entity gets its own $10,000 limit. Some advanced users open separate-entity TreasuryDirect accounts to expand capacity.[9]
A married couple filing jointly can therefore put up to $25,000 per year into I Bonds without exotic structures ($10K each + $5K shared refund). It takes patience to build a meaningful I Bond ladder.
The tax wrinkle
I Bond interest is federally taxable but exempt from state and local income tax under 31 U.S.C. §3124(a) — the same protection that covers all Treasury obligations.[7] The federal tax is normally deferred until the bond is redeemed, which is unusual. Practically, that means a 30-year I Bond can accumulate interest income for three decades while owing zero federal tax until the redemption year. There is also a separate Education Tax Exclusion under IRC §135 that can make the interest fully tax-free if proceeds are used for qualified higher-education expenses in the redemption year and your income is under the published threshold.[8]
How Treasury bills actually work
Treasury bills are short-term Treasury debt — original maturities of 4 weeks, 8 weeks, 13 weeks (3 months), 17 weeks, 26 weeks (6 months), and 52 weeks (1 year). The Treasury auctions new bills every week and most issues are oversubscribed by a factor of two or three.[10]
The mechanic is different from CDs and I Bonds. T-bills do not pay coupon interest. They are sold at a discount to face value and pay face value at maturity. The yield is the difference. A 4-week bill quoted at a 4.20% discount basis with $10,000 face value sells today for roughly $9,967.69 and pays out $10,000 in 28 days. The $32.31 spread is your return.
The wrinkle: a 4.20% discount basis quote is not the same as a 4.20% investment yield. The Treasury also publishes an "investment yield" (or "bond-equivalent yield") number that uses a 365-day year and a different denominator. It will always be higher than the discount-basis quote. For the same 4-week bill above, the investment yield works out to about 4.27%. Use the investment yield when comparing T-bills to CDs and HYSAs.[10]
How to buy them: TreasuryDirect vs brokerage
Two paths. The first is TreasuryDirect.gov, a Treasury website that lets you bid (typically non-competitively, which means you accept the auction-clearing yield) and hold T-bills with no brokerage middleman. Minimum is $100, no commissions, no markups. The site is famously creaky but it works.
The second is a brokerage — Fidelity, Schwab, Vanguard, and most others sell T-bills both at new-issue auctions (no commission) and on the secondary market (small spread). Brokerage holdings are simpler to manage alongside other investments and let you sell mid-life without setting up TreasuryDirect's bank link, but you give up the cleanest direct-from-Treasury path.
The secondary market — and reinvestment risk
T-bills trade actively in the secondary market. If you bought a 26-week bill three months ago and need the money today, you can sell into the market at the prevailing price. That price moves with current short-term rates — if rates have risen since you bought, you will sell at a small loss; if they have fallen, a small gain. Held to maturity, you receive face value with certainty.
The bigger risk is reinvestment risk. A 13-week bill bought today at 4.28% rolls off in October 2026. If the Fed has cut and 13-week bills are then yielding 3.50%, you have no choice but to reinvest at the lower rate. CDs handle this differently — the rate locks for the full term — and that is the core trade-off between the two for any horizon longer than a few months.
How CDs actually work
A certificate of deposit is a time deposit at a bank or credit union. You commit a known principal for a known term and the bank pays a known APY. At maturity you receive principal plus accrued interest. Withdraw early and you pay a penalty — typically 3 months of interest for terms under 12 months, 6 months for 1–4 year terms, and 12 months for 5+ year terms.[11]
Bank CDs are FDIC-insured up to $250,000 per depositor, per bank, per ownership category. Credit-union CDs (technically called "share certificates") are NCUA-insured to the same limit.[12] The insurance is the load-bearing feature — it is what makes the CD a true cash-vehicle equivalent to T-bills rather than corporate credit risk.
Bank CDs vs brokered CDs
The two flavors look similar on the surface but behave differently in important ways.
| Dimension | Bank CD (direct) | Brokered CD (through Fidelity, Schwab, etc.) |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | FDIC at the bank | FDIC at the issuing bank (verify the underwriter) |
| Early exit | Penalty (e.g., 6 months of interest) | Sell on secondary market at prevailing price (no penalty, but may sell below face) |
| Callable? | Almost never | Often — bank can return your money if rates fall |
| Selection | One bank's menu | Dozens of banks in one platform |
| Compounding | Usually monthly or daily, compounds inside the CD | Usually pays simple-interest coupons monthly or semiannually to your sweep |
The two structural risks unique to brokered CDs are worth naming. A callable CD at 4.80% looks better than a 4.20% non-callable on the day you buy it, but if rates fall to 3.50% the bank will call the CD and return your money — leaving you with reinvestment risk you didn't sign up for. Always read the call provisions before buying. And secondary-market sales introduce mark-to-market risk if you exit early — there is no "break the CD for 6 months of interest" option. Whether that is good news or bad news depends on which direction rates have moved.
The ladder: the standard CD strategy
The classic CD strategy is the ladder. Instead of buying one $50,000 5-year CD, you buy five $10,000 CDs at 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5-year terms. Each year one CD matures and you reinvest the proceeds at the back of the ladder (new 5-year). After five years you hold five rolling 5-year CDs but one always matures within 12 months — combining the higher yield of the long end with the liquidity of an annual maturity.
Ladders make most sense when the yield curve has a meaningful upward slope. In June 2026 the slope from 1-year to 5-year CDs is essentially flat, which reduces the ladder's advantage versus a single short CD plus reinvestment. The defensive argument for the ladder — protection from any one-year rate shock — still holds.
📈Project how your cash compounds
See what $10,000 at 4.26% becomes over 1, 5, and 30 years — with compounding frequency baked in.
The tax treatment that changes everything
The single most-overlooked variable in the I-bond / T-bill / CD comparison is state income tax. The federal government cannot tax interest on state and municipal obligations under the doctrine of intergovernmental tax immunity; states cannot tax interest on federal obligations under the same doctrine, codified at 31 U.S.C. §3124(a).[7]
Practically, that means:
- I Bond interest — federal taxable, state-tax exempt everywhere.
- T-bill interest — federal taxable, state-tax exempt everywhere.
- CD interest — federal taxable AND state taxable.
- HYSA interest — federal taxable AND state taxable (same as CDs).
The size of the gap depends on your state's top marginal rate. Here is what a headline 4.20% T-bill yield is "really" worth — i.e., the equivalent taxable CD APY a resident would need to match the after-tax return — in five high-tax states.
| State (top bracket 2026) | State rate | T-bill at 4.20% equivalent CD APY needed |
|---|---|---|
| California | 13.3% | 4.84% |
| New York | 10.9% | 4.71% |
| Hawaii | 11.0% | 4.72% |
| New Jersey | 10.75% | 4.71% |
| Oregon | 9.9% | 4.66% |
| Texas / Florida (no income tax) | 0% | 4.20% |
Equivalent yield = T-bill yield ÷ (1 − state rate). Assumes the saver is in the top marginal bracket and itemizes no SALT-related offsets.
If you live in a state with a 9%+ top bracket, the headline-yield-only comparison underestimates the T-bill / I-bond advantage by 50–65 basis points. That is enough to flip the answer in many practical cases — a 4.10% bank CD is often dominated by a 4.05% T-bill once state tax is in the picture.
The savvy-Californian rule
If your state income tax bracket exceeds about 7%, the default cash vehicle for any new dollar should be a T-bill or an I Bond unless you have a specific reason to choose a CD. The state-tax exemption is structurally worth more than most depository APY premiums.
Three case studies with the math
Case 1: The 18-month house down payment
Priya and Theo, both 33, are stacking cash for a Bay Area home down payment. They expect to close around December 2027, roughly 18 months away. They have $80,000 saved and add $4,000 a month from W-2 income. State: California (13.3% top bracket).
The wrong default: leave it all in their 4.10% HYSA. Over 18 months they earn roughly $4,150 in interest before tax, of which California takes another $552 in state tax, netting about $3,598.
The better play: ladder six 13-week T-bills, rolling each at maturity until two months before closing, then move to a HYSA for final liquidity. Average yield ~4.28% investment basis, fully state-tax exempt. Same 18-month run earns roughly $4,328 — and California can't touch it. They net about $4,328 versus $3,598. The state-tax exemption alone is worth $730 on $80,000 over 18 months.
Why not CDs? They cannot afford to be wrong about the closing date. A bank CD broken three weeks early forfeits months of interest; a T-bill on the secondary market sells at prevailing price (close to face) any business day they need it. The state-tax savings are a bonus.
Why not I Bonds? The 12-month lock would not survive an accelerated closing schedule, and the $10K-per-person annual cap caps their I Bond use to $25K of the $80K plus monthly inflows.
Case 2: The early-retiree income ladder
Eleanor, 62, is two years into early retirement. She holds five years of living expenses ($240,000) in cash equivalents — the "bridge" that lets her ride out any equity bear market without selling stocks at the bottom. She is in a 24% federal bracket and lives in Florida (no state tax).
Wrong default: a single 4.10% HYSA balance. Yield is fine; the problem is concentration risk (one bank failure beyond the $250K limit) and 100% taxable income at federal rates.
Better play: a five-year Treasury ladder of $48,000 per rung — five separate T-notes maturing in years 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5. Each year one rung matures and refills her annual budget without selling equities. Today's rates: 4.05% (1y), 3.95% (2y), 3.90% (3y), 3.95% (5y).[4] She has perfect FDIC-equivalent safety (the Treasury is the floor of the floor), known cash flow every July for the next five years, and zero reinvestment risk in any given year because only one rung resets annually.
I Bond overlay: Eleanor also buys $10,000 of I Bonds every May for five years. This is the inflation-hedged tail of the portfolio — if the next decade looks more like 2021–2023 than 2024–2026, the composite rate will protect her purchasing power in a way a fixed-coupon Treasury cannot. Florida has no state tax so the state-tax-exemption benefit is moot for her, but the federal tax deferral lets her shift income into lower-bracket years if needed.
Case 3: The high-bracket professional with a tax-bill problem
Marcus, 41, is a New York consultant earning $480,000 W-2 plus 1099 side income. He owes roughly $35,000 in estimated quarterly taxes that he holds in cash through the quarter and sweeps to the IRS on the due date. He had been parking the cash in a 4.10% HYSA.
The arithmetic: $35,000 × 4.10% × 0.25 (quarter) = $359 of pre-tax interest per quarter, taxed at his combined 37% federal + 10.9% New York bracket = 47.9%, netting $187.
The shift: 13-week T-bill at 4.28% investment yield, held to the quarterly due date. $35,000 × 4.28% × 0.25 = $374 pre-tax. Federal-taxable at 37% but state-tax-exempt at 10.9%, netting $236. That's $49 more per quarter, or about $196 a year, for the same effective duration and the same effective risk. The work to implement is opening a TreasuryDirect account once and clicking "buy" four times a year.
The case studies are small in dollar terms. They are large in pattern. Once you see the state-tax-exempt T-bill arbitrage, you stop putting near-term cash in HYSAs the moment your state bracket clears 7%.
Five traps that catch first-time buyers
1. The I Bond inflation lag
An I Bond's composite rate moves twice a year, but each individual bond's "next reset" happens six months after its issue date — not on May 1 or November 1. A bond bought June 15, 2026 will hold its 4.26% composite rate from June through November. The Treasury's published May / November dates are the dates new bonds get a new rate; existing bonds reset on their own anniversary schedule. Plan accordingly if you are timing a purchase around a CPI release.[8]
2. The brokered-CD call risk
A 5-year callable CD at 4.50% looks like a steal in a 4.10% world. The catch: if rates fall enough that the issuing bank can refinance more cheaply, it will call your CD on the first call date and return your principal. You bought rate insurance for 5 years and you got it for the worst possible year. Always look for "non-callable" in the brokered-CD listing, or accept the call risk consciously.
3. The 4-week T-bill reinvestment treadmill
Auto-rolling 4-week T-bills feels like a 4.28% perpetual cash account. It is — for now. The week the Fed cuts, your next roll yields meaningfully less. There is no rate lock. If you need a known yield over a known horizon longer than a couple of months, ladder out further. If you are happy taking the Fed's policy rate plus a small premium for as long as the cash sits, the 4-week roll is fine.
4. The CD-vs-HYSA "I'll break it" delusion
Savers routinely tell themselves they will break the CD if rates rise. They almost never do — the friction is real, the penalty is real, and life happens. Either commit the cash to the lock or use a HYSA / T-bill structure that does not require you to be disciplined later.
5. The state-tax mistake on cross-state moves
If you live in Texas and move to California mid-year, your interest income is allocated by residency period. The state-tax-exempt T-bill is exempt everywhere; the CD interest you earned in Texas is exempt in Texas (because there is no state tax) but the CD interest earned after your California move date is California-taxable. Plan year-end repositioning around moves to high-tax states.
The decision tree
Five questions, in order. The first "yes" answer is your vehicle for that dollar.
- Will I need this money within 12 months? Use a T-bill, a brokered CD with a known sell date, or HYSA. Skip I Bonds (12-month lock).
- Do I live in a state with a top bracket above ~7%? Default to T-bills or I Bonds over CDs for the state-tax exemption.
- Do I want explicit inflation protection? I Bonds are the only vehicle in this group with a CPI-U-linked rate reset. Cap is $10K per person per calendar year.
- Do I want a known APY locked in for 1–5 years regardless of what the Fed does? CDs (preferably non-callable brokered). T-bills reset; I Bond inflation components reset.
- None of the above — just maximum yield with no constraint? Top-shelf brokered CDs or 4-week T-bills are roughly tied at ~4.28%; pick by your liquidity preference.
The honest portfolio answer
Most readers end up with a mix: 4 weeks of expenses in a HYSA, the next 6 months of expenses in 4-week T-bills, planned cash needs 12+ months out in a CD or T-bill ladder, and a separate I Bond tranche maxed annually as an inflation-hedged tail. There is no "I Bonds OR T-bills OR CDs" — there is "the right one for this dollar, on this horizon."
An action checklist for this week
- Open a TreasuryDirect account if you don't have one. The site is slow, the password-recovery process is painful, the security image is from 2004. Do it anyway. Without TreasuryDirect you cannot buy I Bonds, and the 12-month I Bond clock starts on purchase date — not on the day you decide to start.
- Audit your state tax bracket. If it's above 7%, your default cash vehicle should be a T-bill or an I Bond, not a CD or HYSA. Re-rank your current cash holdings by after-state-tax yield.
- Set up a 4-week T-bill auto-roll for short-cash. Both TreasuryDirect and most brokerages will let you auto-reinvest 4-week bills indefinitely with a single click. Replaces the HYSA for the dollars you don't truly need this week.
- Buy this calendar year's I Bond allocation before December 31. The annual $10K personal cap does not roll forward. If you skip 2026 you cannot make it up in 2027. Even $5,000 buys a 30-year inflation-hedged tax-deferred position.
- Look at non-callable brokered CDs for any 12–36 month money. Filter for "non-callable" explicitly. Lock the rate. The flat yield curve makes the 1-year vs 3-year decision almost a wash today; pick by horizon.
- Confirm you are under FDIC limits everywhere. If a single bank holds more than $250K of yours across all accounts (checking + savings + CD), split before the next month-end. For larger balances, brokered CDs spread across multiple issuers solve this automatically.
- Document the after-tax yield on every cash holding. The headline APY is not the right comparison number. Compute (yield × (1 − federal_rate − state_rate × is_taxable)) and rank.
- Plug your numbers into our compound interest calculator and our bond yield calculator. Make the trade-off tangible.
Frequently asked questions
What is the best place to park cash in 2026?
It depends on the time horizon. For cash you may need in the next 12 months, Treasury bills and high-yield savings dominate — both pay around 4% and remain accessible. For cash you can lock for 12 months to 5 years, brokered CDs and Series I Savings Bonds are the cleanest options. Series I bonds carry a 4.26% composite rate (May–October 2026 issue), brokered CDs run roughly 4.00%–4.10% APY at 1–5 year terms, and 3-month T-bills are yielding near 4.30% as of mid-June 2026. The best pick for any single dollar depends on whether you value liquidity, tax efficiency, or inflation protection most.
What is the difference between an I Bond and a T-Bill?
An I Bond is a non-marketable U.S. Treasury savings bond whose yield combines a fixed rate set at purchase (0.90% for the May 2026 issue) with a semiannual inflation adjustment tied to CPI-U. T-bills are short-term marketable Treasury securities (4-week to 52-week) sold at auction at a discount to face value. I bonds cannot be sold or transferred and are locked for at least 12 months; T-bills can be sold in the secondary market any business day. Both are state-tax exempt and federally taxable.
Are CDs FDIC insured?
Yes. Bank CDs are FDIC-insured up to $250,000 per depositor, per insured bank, per ownership category. Credit-union CDs (share certificates) are NCUA-insured to the same limit. Brokered CDs purchased through a brokerage are FDIC-insured at the issuing bank — which means a single $1M brokered-CD portfolio can be split across four issuing banks to stay under the cap on each.
Do I pay state tax on I Bonds and T-Bills?
No. Interest on I Bonds and Treasury bills is exempt from state and local income tax under 31 U.S.C. §3124(a). It is fully taxable for federal income tax purposes. CDs are taxable for both federal and state income tax. In a 9% state-tax bracket like California, this gap is meaningful: a 4.20% T-bill yield is equivalent to a 4.62% taxable CD yield for a top-bracket California resident.
What happens if I cash out an I Bond early?
I Bonds cannot be redeemed at all during the first 12 months after purchase. Between months 12 and 60, redemption is allowed but you forfeit the most recent three months of interest as a penalty. After 60 months, you can redeem with no penalty. I Bonds earn interest for 30 years and you must declare the accrued interest as federal taxable income in the year you redeem (or annually if you elect).
How much can I buy in I Bonds per year?
Per calendar year, an individual can purchase $10,000 in electronic Series I Bonds through TreasuryDirect, plus up to $5,000 in paper I bonds using a federal tax refund (Form 8888). Married couples filing jointly can purchase $10,000 each ($20,000 total) plus the $5,000 refund-based bonds. Trusts and entities have their own separate $10,000 limit, which advanced users sometimes use to expand annual capacity.
Should I buy individual T-Bills or a T-Bill ETF?
Individual T-bills held to maturity give you certainty about the dollar amount you will receive and the date you will receive it. ETFs like SGOV or BIL hold rolling baskets of short-term T-bills and trade like stocks — useful for daily liquidity but they introduce minor tracking error and a small expense ratio (about 0.07%–0.14%). For a known cash need on a known date, individual T-bills are cleaner; for ongoing cash management, ETFs are more convenient.
What is a brokered CD and is it safe?
A brokered CD is a certificate of deposit issued by a bank but sold through a brokerage (Fidelity, Schwab, Vanguard, etc.). It is FDIC-insured at the issuing bank. The advantage is selection — a single brokerage account gives you access to CDs from dozens of banks. The trade-offs are that many brokered CDs are callable (the bank can return your money early if rates fall), and selling before maturity means selling at the prevailing market price, which can be below face value.
What is the 4-week T-Bill paying right now?
As of mid-June 2026, the 4-week Treasury bill is auctioning at roughly 4.27% on an investment basis and the 3-month is around 4.28%, both tracking the Fed's 3.50%–3.75% target range with a small premium. Treasury bill yields move daily; check TreasuryDirect or the Federal Reserve H.15 release for the current auction result before you commit.
Are I Bonds better than CDs in 2026?
For a 1-to-5-year horizon, I Bonds beat CDs on inflation protection (composite rate adjusts every six months), tax efficiency (state-tax exempt), and the option value of holding to 30 years. CDs beat I Bonds on rate certainty (your CD APY is locked the day you open it), purchase capacity (no $10,000-per-year cap), and on liquidity in the 0–12 month window (you can break a CD with a known penalty; you cannot redeem an I Bond at all in the first 12 months). The right answer is usually a mix.
Methodology & sources
Yields cited are from official auction or institutional listings as of June 19, 2026. T-bill investment-yield figures are derived from the Treasury's discount-basis quote using the standard conversion iy = (365 × discount) / (360 − discount × days). CD APY ranges reflect the top of the rate stack at major brokered-CD platforms and direct-bank listings; the bottom of the market (national average for 1-year CDs near 1.97% per Bankrate as of June 18, 2026) is much lower. I Bond composite-rate math follows the Treasury formula composite = fixed + 2 × semi_inflation + (fixed × semi_inflation). State-tax equivalent-yield comparisons assume the saver is in the top marginal bracket and itemize no SALT-related offsets. Specific institutional rates change frequently — verify before purchase.
Sources cited:
- Federal Reserve Board, FOMC Statement, June 17, 2026 — target range maintained at 3.50%–3.75%; June 2026 Summary of Economic Projections showing median year-end fed funds rate revised to 3.8%. federalreserve.gov
- NYU Stern (Aswath Damodaran), Annual Returns on Stocks, T.Bonds and T.Bills: 1928 – Current — long-run S&P 500 nominal CAGR ~10%. pages.stern.nyu.edu
- FDIC, Weekly National Rates and Rate Caps — national savings rate vs top-tier institutional rates June 2026; top brokered HYSA rates of 4.00%–4.50% APY (Bankrate, NerdWallet, CNBC Select June 2026 surveys). fdic.gov
- U.S. Department of the Treasury, Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates and Treasury Bill Auction Results, June 2026 data. home.treasury.gov
- Bankrate, Best 1-Year CD Rates June 2026 and Best CD Rates June 2026 — top-of-market 1-year CDs at 4.10%–5.00% APY (including A+ Federal Credit Union at 5.00%); national average 1-year CD APY 1.97% as of June 18, 2026; brokered CDs typically 4.00%–4.20% at Fidelity / Schwab / Vanguard. bankrate.com
- TreasuryDirect, Series I Savings Bonds Rates — May 1, 2026 announcement of 4.26% composite rate (0.90% fixed + 1.67% semiannual inflation, annualized 3.34%) for bonds issued May 1, 2026 through October 31, 2026. treasurydirect.gov
- 31 U.S.C. §3124(a) — Exemption from taxation of obligations of the United States by states and their political subdivisions. govinfo.gov
- U.S. Department of the Treasury, Series I Savings Bonds Program — 31 CFR Part 359; statutory authority 31 U.S.C. §3105; Education Tax Exclusion under IRC §135. treasurydirect.gov
- Internal Revenue Service, Form 8888 (Allocation of Refund Including Savings Bond Purchases) — $5,000 paper I Bond annual cap via tax refund. irs.gov
- U.S. Department of the Treasury, Treasury Marketable Securities — Treasury Bills auction schedule, discount-basis pricing, and investment-yield calculations. treasurydirect.gov
- Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Time Deposit (CD) Early Withdrawal Penalty disclosures under Regulation D and Regulation DD (Truth in Savings Act). consumerfinance.gov
- FDIC, Deposit Insurance Coverage — $250,000 per depositor, per insured bank, per ownership category; National Credit Union Administration share-insurance equivalent. fdic.gov
This article is educational. It is not personalized financial advice. Rates change daily; verify current yields with the institution or Treasury before committing. Consult a fee-only fiduciary advisor or a CPA for advice tailored to your situation. Read our editorial process →